Another example from science like this on
a heat Source, put a beaker of water. Then put a thermometer into that water and turn on your heat Source then record as the time
passes what the temperature of the
water is, you will notice that the temperature of the water will increase, you can do this with a saucepan of home. So long as the heat source is relatively constant, the temperature rise will be relatively constant as well.
So after 1 minute the
temperature might go from 20 degrees Celsius to 30 degrees Celsius,
I imagine every minute climbs by another 10 degrees
Celsius, but at some point is going to stall when it hits the boiling
point precisely. Now, if you're a thoroughgoing inductive us or even a Bayesian Reasoner and you don't know anything about the boiling temperature and what phenomena happens at that temperature, you can join all of those lovely lines into a perfectly diagonal, straight line and extrapolate off into Infinity after 2 hours according to your Bayesian reasoning. According to your induction, we should assume that the temperature.
Of that water will be a thousand degrees Celsius, but of course, this is completely false. What actually happens is. Once it starts boiling, it stays at it's boiling temperature, we get a plateau and this plateau of temperature about a hundred degrees Celsius remains there,
until all the water boils away. Now, there's no possible way of knowing
this without first doing the
experiment or having already guessed via, some
explanatory means what was going to
happen.
No
method of recording, all of these data points and extrapolating off into the future could ever have given you the correct answer. The correct answer can only come from creativity and notice. That
science is not about predicting
where the trend starts and where the trend goes. In fact, if we want to explain what's going on with the water, we refer to the particles and how as the temperature increases, the kinetic energy of the particles starts to increase, which means the velocity of the particle starts to
increase eventually.
Those particles in the liquid state achieve escape, velocity from the rest of the liquid. At this point, we have boiling, but that escape,
velocity. The technical term is latent heat requires energy. And for this reason, we can have heating of something like, water,
without any temperature increase, that's what science. Is that whole complicated story about
how the particles are moving faster. This invocation of the term latent heat, it's not
about Trends and predictions. It's about explanation only. Once we have the explanation.
can we in fact, make the prediction,
