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The Knowledge Project with Shane Parrish
#113 Sarah Tavel: The Value of Intellectual Rigor
#113 Sarah Tavel: The Value of Intellectual Rigor

#113 Sarah Tavel: The Value of Intellectual Rigor

The Knowledge Project with Shane ParrishGo to Podcast Page

Sarah Tavel, Shane Parrish
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35 Clips
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Jun 15, 2021
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Episode Summary
Episode Transcript
0:00
I'll describe what you see for the people who do scale the founders, who are not afraid to be vulnerable. They understand that they are Works in progress and then figure out the ways to constantly grow evolve, and push their own abilities. And it's the people who aren't willing to admit to themselves or whomever they work that they don't know something, or they're not letting themselves have that learning moment of accepting that they don't know.
0:30
Oh, something that they tend to just hold themselves back and not scale as a company scales.
0:51
Welcome to the knowledge project. I'm your host, Shane Parrish this podcast, sharpens, your mind by helping you master the best what other people have already figured out. If you're listening to this, you're not currently as sporting number if you'd like special.
1:06
It's access before everyone else, transcripts and other members only content you can join at f--, s dot blog. / podcast. Check out the show notes for a link. My guest on this episode is Sarah Tavel. Sarah's a general partner of Benchmark. This conversation is interesting because not only is Sarah and Ambassador, but you have significant operating experience in scaling as an early employee at Pinterest. We talked about how studying philosophy helped her as a VC, her concept of the net present.
1:36
Value of pain and how it applies, why? Every strength has a corresponding weakness. Where boards go wrong, assessing the performance of a CEO lessons from rapidly scaling Pinterest and so much more. It's time to listen and learn
1:58
The knowledge project is sponsored by metal lab for a decade mental. Lab has helped some of the world's top companies and entrepreneurs, build products that millions of people. Use every day. You probably didn't realize that at the time, but odds, are you've used an app that they've helped design or build apps, like slack, coinbase, Facebook Messenger, Oculus Lonely Planet. And many more metal AB ones to bring their unique design, philosophy to your project. Let them take your brainstorm and turn it into
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into the next billion dollar app from IDs sketched, on the back of a napkin to a final ship product. Check them out at metal, AB dot Co, that's metal AB dot Co and when you get in touch, tell them Shane sent you the knowledge project is sponsored by Grayhawk successful families. Know that wealth can create a curious dilemma. It creates benefits. It secures the future and creates opportunities but it also presents challenges. How do you stay true to your values and ensure that future Generations use their wealth wisely
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3:24
He's the kind of leaders who make other people better for 30 years admired leadership has been uncovering the habits routines and behaviors of the very best leaders, how they give feedback, make decisions build relationships, how they motivate and Inspire behaviors, any serious leader, can learn and master better leaders. Make people better find out more at admired leadership.com.
3:52
He studied philosophy and not computer science or business. How is that shaped the way that you approach your job as a VC?
3:59
Yeah, you know it's funny like I think most people misunderstand what philosophy is. I think that people probably when you say that you studied philosophy the imagine a bunch of you know guys and three piece suit sitting around a table drinking Cognac and pontificating on the meaning of life but it is a little different.
4:20
You know this of course philosophy is is this big umbrella but the type of philosophy that I studied in college was a very analytical version of philosophy where you know, it's underpinned by Logic and you learn a level of intellectual rigor that you don't even realize, it's kind of like you think you can be rigorous and you're thinking and then you have to write a philosophy I say or read a philosophy. I say where you have to
4:50
No, you're you're breaking things down into premises. You have to think through thought experiments to imagine all the corner cases and, and preempt like, any objections that someone might have on your argument. And, and the level of rigor, that you learn actually has made such a difference in my life. Like, when I was doing product of Pinterest, you know, a product document where you're making a recommendation on a product is actually very similar to a philosophy proof, like you have hypotheses.
5:20
I know about how users behave, how they'll accept a different, you know, a new feature, what you know, what their what their intent is on the product and you, you underwrite that with, you know, user research experiments, analyzing the data that you already have and and it and it's, you know, if all these hypotheses are true, then the conclusion is that you should ship the product. And that's it's a philosophy proof, but for product and I think investing is the same thing like when you're reading an investment recommendation,
5:50
Thinking about a potential investment. You also, you know really what it comes down to is is a proof in the same way where you have the premises, which may be a belief that you have about the future, the kind of product Market fit, the founder market fit, all these, all these things that you once again under right by, you know, understand the competitive landscape, talking to customers, looking at the data, all those things and Trends. And if you believe all those hypotheses to be true, all those premises
6:20
He's then it follows that you should make the investment. And so it was one of those things that I never would have anticipated, you know, from when I studied philosophy, it wasn't with intent to go into Venture by anyway, or to go into technology and even but it ended up being an incredible place to learn how to be good at this job.
6:39
Speaking of pictures, do you led some Acquisitions while you were there? What was that process? Like, can you walk me through sort of like the end and all the way from identifying, the Acquisitions to integrating the cultures.
6:50
Yeah, you know. Well, the Acquisitions that I worked on it was super early and Pinterest time. I can think I did three kind of the first Acquisitions that we made there and so they were primarily with one exception. More just the talent. I have a hypothesis that I believe that Founders are just unique type of person. You know they are it's part of why I love to do what I do. It's I think that it's just such a different DNA of person and what tends to
7:20
Happen in a company in a start-up or, you know, a company like Pinterest. It's going through hyper-growth is that you're constantly recruiting and you have a recruiting team, and the recruiting team is doing everything they can to find the Google engineer, the Facebook engineer, the Twitter person, whoever it may be and to have them come into the company, but it's all the same type of DNA. It's a type of person who joins a company at a stage where it's more secure where you have a more specific,
7:50
Roll, you know, you're looking for a little bit more certainty and structure versus the person who is a Founder like they, you know, risk-loving responsibility seeking. It's not about what my job is. It's about what the company needs, you know, action-oriented High degree of urgency. And so, I think it's so important to constantly inject that type of DNA into a company through the entire life cycle of a company. I'm a huge believer, a
8:20
Julian Talent Acquisitions for this reason, because it just very, very difficult to recruit Founders because they're fed. They're leading their companies. And so the idea what the talent Acquisitions was, let's find this type of DNA, let's bring in into the company, particularly in, you know, types of strengths that we needed. For example, one of the Acquisitions that I was most proud of was this visual search company. They had developed some computer vision technology and that was
8:50
Something that Pinterest needed, we had no computer vision, DNA, and bringing in that type of, kind of founder orientation. It was like incredibly impactful for the company.
9:02
What are some of the lessons you learned about scaling Pinterest that apply outside of Pinterest after you
9:07
left? Oh gosh. Shandaar so many, you know, the first thing and this is one of the things that the founders with whom I work hear me. Talk about all the time. Is that kind of what you measure matter. So, you know, I remember at Pinterest at one point, our growth team decided that the metric that they were going to base their success, on their. Their okay, are on, was monthly, active users. So, you know, so this
9:31
lowest common denominator thing, if someone a user comes to your product, once in the month, they count as an Mau and okay, are is objective and key results. It's just a way for a company to have a team. Say, this is our main objective for a quarter as an example, and the key results are the key projects that will move the metric on that objective. And and what happens is that if you choose the wrong metric. So and may use in this case,
10:01
Actually, end up optimizing for the wrong thing. The product that you build up to like the, you end up deciding on different features that you're going to build that optimize for something, that's think top of the funnel basis. And as an example here, all startups are incredibly resource-constrained, right? Like there's even, despite that there being so much Capital chasing startups. At the end of the day, you're still a capital constrained environment where as a Founder, you have to make sure that you're allocating your dollars in the way that will generate the most.
10:31
Equity value for the company long-term and you just waste a lot of effort. It's a shame, really when you're focused on the wrong things. When when the growth team realized this and ended up changing their okay, are to be what we called, weekly active pinners, you know, actually making someone who signs up for Pinterest. Not just come to the site once in a month, but actually pinned something. Once in a week, their entire roadmap changed and we were able to make the users that were signing up far more successful.
11:02
And happier and better better long-term engage user. So what you measure matters is huge and I'm, I have an allergy for vanity metrics. I can see a vanity metric, a mile away. And it's one of those things that I just think it's it's, you know, it just it's back to that intellectual rigor, of really being honest with yourself of what you're measuring and is it really the right long-term thing? Org chart matters to like I think people sometimes see or changes
11:31
As as a bug, you know, as a oh, something must not be going right with my Company. The company that I'm at because we had to change the org chart and now I'm reporting to someone else or, you know, they had to change these leadership teams but it's actually a a sign that the company is growing and it's sometimes I think I was like setting a bone, like you have to constantly as you're growing you have to be able to set things in the right way, so that the company is set up to be successful too.
12:01
Real quickly to be a lot, have the chart, the org chart actually be aligned with the strategy and so it's just another one of those things were so many times, I would see situations where the way that the organization was structured, actually created a tax on our ability to
12:19
execute a double, click on
12:20
that. So one example, I'd give the growth team wasn't reporting to the product team to the product leader. And so, and there was a point in time when the growth team at Pinterest was actually reported
12:31
reporting to the marketing team. And so you had a team that was separate from the product team that was making changes to the product and wasn't actually aligned with what the product strategy was going to be what the priority features were for the product team. And, and it and it meant because they were, we were all making changes to the same. The same products. We had to have a lot of meetings to coordinate. No, there was no single leader. Who was the one?
13:01
Who was, you know, making sure that everybody's strategy and tactics were aligned and so it got pushed down to the rest of the team. A lot of overhead, a lot of meetings, a lot of people with different incentives pointing in different directions and it slowed everything down and so when the org change so that the growth team reported to the head of product. Everything just got streamlined and more aligned and we all executed a lot better
13:30
talk to me a little bit about some of the
13:31
The considerations of integrating Founders into an existing culture because that sounds like it's, it's really good or really bad luck. Can you have a team of Founders in you? How does that
13:42
work? It's a good question. I think you'd be lucky to have a team of Founders. All people that work in a company are on a spectrum where on one side, you have the founders where their identity is the company. They know they don't ask what their job is, they ask what the company needs. They work nights and weekends, it's like it's
14:01
It's an all in Pursuit verses on the other side of the spectrum. You know, to be as you know almost as hyperbolic as possible it's like the mercenary the person who will just go wherever they're paid the most and when you, when you find those people who are super impactful on the founder side of the spectrum, what is really important is that their identity, they want their identity to be the company and so you have to make sure that they're really really aligned.
14:31
And with the mission of what you're doing because then they're going to go all in on it. But if it's just you know, grafting someone on because they want a soft Landing for their company but they don't really care about what your company is doing. Then that feels like it's not a not a path for Success.
14:50
I'm curious from the outside looking in. A lot of these tech companies especially ones that have gone public recently. Don't seem to generate any cash for their shareholders. In fact they consume cash for their shareholders.
15:02
How do you think about this? How do you feel this plays out? Like, what are your thoughts on this? Because you have a very different Vantage Point than I do from the outside. Looking in your, the inside looking out.
15:12
There's kind of two things that I think about their Shane. The first is that there's a cash flow thing that you have to look at, which is it may be that up front, you have to invest money in, you know, marketing and sales. Whatever it may be, in order to sign a
15:31
Customer that will become very very profitable for you. Over a longer period of time and so even though there's burn up front that you have to accept over a longer period of time, it's a profit-making machine. It's a machine that you can put a dollar in and get five, ten dollars, whatever it may be back. And when you have that type of machine, you want to be as aggressive as you can at growing, because it's going to be a positive irr for you. And it leads to the second point which is that
16:01
That know, something that I think a lot about and in the companies that I look to invest in is companies that can escape competition, you know, the company's the Escape competition, ultimately, are the ones that get to a place where they're incredibly profitable. They generate a lot of cash for their shareholders. They are able to create great experiences for their, for their customers and in but you're not going to be able to escape competition overnight. There's going to be a lot of
16:31
Investing that you have to do in sales and product in you know, the engineering side and and more and more you have competition. And they're going to be doing the same thing, they're going to be investing heavily and and if you have a more efficient machine where you're able to again, take that dollar and make five dollars, six dollars, whatever it may be out of it. If not more, then you should be burning as much money as you can do efficiently, to keep getting further and further and further away from the number two in the
17:02
And so it's a very rational thing to do assuming that you have that machine that I described. There's a lot of people who think that they will have that machine. You know that there's a little bit of, you know, believe me that can happen where you don't quite see the contribution margin and someone might think, oh we get to enough scale. Then the economics will start to work. Those tend to be trickier and there's a lot that you have to believe in terms of how the comp how the competition's going to.
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Spend money. Whether the economies of scale or network effects that they described will actually come true. And those are, those are trickier.
17:39
How do you? Let's dive in there, just a little bit because I'm curious how you determine the companies that are sort of using money to grow with this sort of like pain today. Again, tomorrow versus companies that are using money to acquire customers, but don't actually have a viable product that giving it away for free or their, the incentives are just so huge that customers are standing up for it but they can't quite
18:01
Figure out that there is no Runway there, how do you think about that, or am I think about that
18:06
wrong? So number one is that you're looking for early evidence that what the founder believes will be true, which is that the contribution margins will expand over time or that the unit, you know, the cost to acquire a new user, will go down or whatever it may be so that you can get to a place of profitability on a customer level. You're looking for evidence that that actually is starting to
18:31
Happen that it's getting better that you can you can see you can extrapolate from the points that you do have. That there is a path there. The second thing is really just the founders understanding numeracy of of their business. You know, there's there's a very big difference between a Founder who wait, you know. They're they wave a little bit that this is the way it's going to be and, and then actually,
19:01
In the reality of the numbers and they're not being a great connection between what the founder understands of their business and the facts, the brutal facts on the ground. And by the way, that kind of really facing the brutal facts, I think that's a Jim Collins comps concept that I love is so, so important, and then, and then there's the the founder. I remember this with Francis a CEO of sander, a company I invested in that he just knew every number in his business.
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It's like cold and he knew exactly how he was going to make them better over time. And there was just a little bit, this feeling that here is a Founder who is just a freaking animal and they're going to keep on going up this curve. And you can you can extrapolate from where they are that they're going to make it
19:50
happen. What are the things that you see yourself saying over and over again, across the different boards that you're on?
19:58
So one of the things, one of the first things I
20:01
Say is this kind of concept I call the net present value of pain which is you know when you're when you're running a company, there's so many decisions all the time that you need to be making and so many optimizations and a lot of times there are some decisions that you kind of want to procrastinate on, you know. It may be a decision to cut a product that you had love and you don't pursue more often than not. It's people things. You know someone who's not scaling in there.
20:31
Roll and has to be leveled or let go. And, and what I always remind Founders is that painted a postponed until tomorrow is going to be harder. It's like taking a loan out on the pain and particularly in the early stages of a company, if you have the wrong head of product and you know it but you're like, hey I'm just going to wait a few more months until I get this other roll right before I address this.
21:01
In the compounding problems that happen, that you shipped the wrong things, you hire the wrong people. Like the problem, you have to nip these things in the bud. Otherwise, there's these cascading effects that happen that make it a bigger and bigger deal when you actually get to that decision another thing, I always remind people of is something I learned from my, my partner at Greylock Reid, Hoffman, which is that every strength has a corresponding weakness. You know, it's one of these things where I think,
21:31
Think a lot of times, you know, people in a company, one of the examples I always give is the difference in an org structure as we talked about before between an org structure, that's more centralized. You know, where there's more of a command-and-control everybody is moving to the beat of the same drum versus a decentralized org, where you have more autonomy at the edges of an organization, they can move quickly. It works a lot for companies that have more local businesses, like a noob,
22:02
But there's a corresponding weakness to both of those types of organizations for the decentralized org, what tends to happen is people aren't coordinated and they end up building some of the same things or potentially have conflicting things. There's, you know, every team is building the same marketing acquisition engine where like, if you brought that centralized and maybe you'd have some economies of scale, but, you know, sometimes and on the centralized thing, it can feel like there's no redundancy.
22:31
Didn't see in the things that people are working on, but it's slower. And what sometimes happens in a company is that they, you know, employees, and I remember this at Pinterest, feel the weaknesses of the approach. Instead of the strengths, you might not realize you take for granted that the decentralized org is helping the company move really quickly and and, and like, have very time is teams that are very focused on the local situation but instead what you feel,
23:01
An employee is the chaos of, oh my God, we're all building the same thing, that's slightly different, like, isn't that a waste of resources? And so it's helping people take perspective that the strength of an approach has a weakness that you can't separate. I think it's also, you know, when we think about ourselves as people, you know, I used to always think, oh, God, I can't remember people's names, you know, I'm like really bad at
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Trivia and remembering facts. And then I realized that actually Myers Brigg helped me realize this. That it's, you know, I'm not an SI man, n, you know? Like the N is the abstract thinker. Like, that's my strength. I'm an abstract thinker and the strength of being an abstract. Thinker comes with the corresponding weakness that I'm terrible at people's names and you would never want me on their trivia team and and four Founders. They have these things all the time, where the founder, who is incredibly.
24:01
Rational and like just, you know, a machine in terms of executing may not be the most strategic person and the other way around. And so it's always, you know, accepting and realizing these two things come hand-in-hand. And as a Founder just surround yourself with people who have the strength that you don't and you're going to have a great great
24:22
team. One of the things I want to come back to that you said was sort of identifying people that can't scale in their role. What are the early warning signs?
24:31
Signs that people can't aren't scaling in the role that there's problems on the horizon, that action is necessary.
24:38
I'll describe what you see for the people who do scale, which is they're just learning machines. You know, it's such a growth mindset thing, where everybody has different ways of learning like I have one of my Founders is a PhD and he's someone who his way of learning and pushing his his
25:01
Rises and what he's able to do is to is to read, is to study, is to kind of, you know, he's a learning machine from whatever he can consume in terms of content. Some people know their way of learning and pushing their own envelope, is to surround themselves with CEO's that are a step ahead of them and find great mentors who push them and hold them accountable. Some people might, you know, find coaches, you know, that actually help them through that. But the founders who I see and
25:31
The founders and, and, and leaders are not afraid to be vulnerable like that. They understand that there are Works in progress and and then figure out the ways to constantly constantly grow evolve, and push their own abilities. And it's the people who I think aren't willing to admit to themselves or whomever they work that they don't know something, or they're not letting themselves have that learning moment.
26:01
Accepting that they don't know. Something that they tend to just hold themselves back and and not scale as a company scales,
26:10
a couple of podcasts ago. I was talking with Chris Cornell who is the chief of staff to Stewart Butterfield slack. And she she mentioned something. And I'd love to hear your opinion on this where when you identified somebody who didn't fit the role, she said just let them go. Don't transfer them internally, don't give them another job. Huh? What's your reaction to that?
26:30
I would
26:31
I would say, that's right. 95% of the time like all all roles, sometimes you should break it, particularly, you know, at the early, early stages of a company. When you're going through hyper-growth, you're bringing in these these athletes and and the company gets more specialized over time and so rolls have to evolve but, but I absolutely agree with, you know, the 95% scenario, there is a non-confrontational weakness to this kind of treatment.
27:01
Transfer, which is that you're telling someone hey not that I don't think that you're scaling with the company but hey, let's find another role for you and the company and you can become someone else's problem or Italy. No, it's one of my partner's aravis. Shreya has told me this framework that he had at loud Cloud when they were hiring which was that they would interview people and they would rate someone on a scale of 1 to 10 and you had to be an
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Eight nine or ten average in order to be hired and and the thesis was is that seven skill companies and what that means is that, you know, when someone is a for you just know, they're not doing the job, they're not up for it. And let's, let's take them out of the system. But the problem with the seven is that you don't get to that point, because that person will have glimmers of being able to do the job. They'll maybe they'll be super culture, carriers, they'll have these things that are
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Me, but because they have those things, two things happens. One, there's an opportunity cost of that seat. Of course like when someone that's a seven is holding the seat and means that you don't have a 9 having that seat and to is that when I see this all the time is that the execution of a team is often brought down by the weakest link and so an entire team can be brought down by that seven. And so kind of back to that point of transferring someone if they were
28:31
Were a seven or worse for that role the you know the probability that they're going to be in nine somewhere else. Like you have to really be you have to have real conviction that that's going to be true. Otherwise, the most likely thing that you're doing is trying to avoid a hard conversation that you just have to
28:50
have. So you're avoiding the brutal Fox. I like that, that's sevens, sevens kill companies and if you think of that, it's almost multiplicative. Right? So the difference between a 7 and 9 is huge if you think of it
29:01
Instead of addition, you think of it as multiplying, the people that they work with
29:06
we absolutely and especially when they're hiring people because, you know, it's kind of that classic is hire a as you know, be as high or sees like it's just the one you're a nine. You're going to have people who are eights nines and tens, want to work with that person. But the seven is just not going to bring that same level of team to the table. And so it does create this cascading
29:31
Being challenged in an organization that you just have to be hyper-vigilant
29:34
about when I come back a little bit at a higher level to the role of boards. Where do you think boards go wrong with startups with all companies?
29:44
How much time do we have? One of the things that I always tell Founders is you have to make sure that the board members that you bring on our, as much on the same side of the table, as you about the future, like where the company is headed and the future of the company.
30:02
Because, you know, people whomever you have around the table in the boardroom even an observer. You know, I think people kind of think of it as a board of director, like this person's on the board and this one's seen Observer so the Observer doesn't matter. That's so so wrong because things rarely come to a vote. It's always about what's that conversation around the table. And someone who has a seat at the table is participating in whatever strategic.
30:31
Ation, you're having can really change the direction of a company. And so you want to make sure that the Judgment of the people that you bring around the table is like super high and that they're going to push you in the ways that you need to be pushing want to be pushed and that they're aligned on the vision and the mission of the company. Otherwise, it just creates another tax on your execution. Where you end up having to spend time? Convincing someone who maybe was never on board with
31:01
Direction of the company that you're going and and so, so one is just like finding those people who aren't cheerleaders like will help will show you the brutal facts. But at the same time, are all Marching In The Same Direction. That's number one, number two is, you know, and I've seen this is kind of the micromanagement that can sometimes happen and this is sometimes the weaknesses that X operators have when they transition into investing is thinking, oh, I can do this and I'm going to do
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Dig in, in the company and get, you know, help them with growth, or help them, with whatever it may be. And, and it ends up acting as a crutch to the CEO. And so, instead of the CEO hiring the person that they should hire. So they have that inside the company. You know, like working on a 24/7, you have this person who thinks that they're really good at what have a functional level, whatever function, it is coming in and, and really causing more pain where then too.
32:01
You're feels like they have to have this person who's not living and breathing the company. Every day, you know, a pining on different product directions, or, you know what the compensation is going to be for the sales team with, that's, that's not productive. And then I'd say, the third thing is just one, there's distrust that happens with the board and the founder, then you can't have the conversations that are important. You can't have the
32:31
The you can't hold the mirror up to the founder because they don't want to hear it and you're not going to be. You're probably not having good intent of your if you, if there's a trust breakdown already that's happened. Sometimes Founders describe a board that can get toxic and it tends to be in that circumstance where there's just a trust break down and then the board isn't able to perform the duty that it has, which is to there's the kind of fiduciary duty, of course, you know. But then there's I think the more important stuff which is our
33:01
Focusing on the right things. Are we pursuing a strategy that will lead to tremendous Equity value, creation? All
33:09
those things talk to me a little bit about how that trust breaks down and what it looks like when it's happening.
33:15
You know, one of the things that I've tell my company's is you can take as long to you can wait until the board meeting to give good you know, good news but you give bad news as fast as possible. And there's that is a classic
33:31
us break down from the founder to the board where the board feels like, hey, why are we just finding out about this now? What else don't I know. And so that's, that's an easy way for things to break down the other way, that happens from where the board loses. The CEOs trust is usually if the CEO doesn't feel like the board member is acting in the best interest of the company, if an investor ends up investing in a competitive company, if they recruit someone
34:01
A different company. If they end up just optimizing for their own, their own equity, in the company instead of like helping make a financing successful, all those things can break down because ultimately when you're the CEO, you want to bring on a board member who is going to be doing everything they can to make the company successful. Like that should be their optimization function. And when it's the one, there's a breakdown there that can that can really hurt. Trust, you
34:29
strike me as a very structured.
34:31
Add thinker process oriented person when it comes to making decisions. Can you peel back the curtain there, a little bit and walk us through, maybe your personal process for making decisions. Whether it's to invest in a company or even at a board level, how are you structuring those things in your
34:45
mind? Yeah. You know, I think it's kind of the way my brain is and it's why, you know, one of the things that I try to do a lot as is synthesized, the world in a way and reduce it, so that I can have a framework from which to reason.
35:01
You know, it is this kind of building patterns so that you can see the topology of a world in a way that is higher resolution than if you, if you didn't have some of those mental models from which to, to reason. And so for me, like, you know, I ask myself, like I meet with a lot of social products all the time, and you can see them growing really quickly, and one of the first Frameworks that I actually wrote about to help me.
35:31
Me figure out, like, which of the ones we should invest in? Is this thing? I wrote called the hierarchy of Engagement, which is how do I know if something's growing really quickly if it's actually going to be something that indoors for more marketplaces. Like I, you know, I see a lot of companies are so many Founders who Orient themselves towards hitting this 1 million dollars of annualized gmv. You know, there's kind of these ideas that go around which is that to raise your series a you have to hit a certain metric there.
36:01
Ways to hit Milestones that are more vanity metric than the actual kind of authentic, real intellectual rigor around, kind of, in my, in my really doing the hard work to get to this Milestone. And so it was a similar thing of like, how do I look at these companies and and understand, or they orienting in the right way to build enduring value. And then, as a board member, then how do
36:31
I also helped kind of pull the future into the present and and help align the strategy with a way that I think will create maximum value. So I'm always trying to put structure on decision, help me think through something in a way that that I hope gives me an edge and making the right decision at the
36:50
time. Well, just like Michael Jordan. We can get some insight into that but nobody nobody's gonna listen to this and become Michael Jordan. So maybe you can go into some more detail on sort of what are the men.
37:01
Models that order some other mental models that you're thinking about or Frameworks that you're using. When you're sort of internally structuring your decision imagine opportunity cost is one of them, but what else keeps coming up over and over again? What are the Timeless
37:14
ones opportunity cost is such a huge one. I know at Benchmark our model of investing is that we have decided that we're not going to scale our business. You know, we haven't grown our fun size and it's
37:31
five general Partners right now and it's a kind of this rare structure of an equal partnership. And, and we don't delegate any part of our job, kind of our aspiration for any company that we are on the board of is that we are the hardest-working most impactful board member that you have around the table. And so there's no Talent partner to whom I can delegate a search for there's no associate who's going to dig in on your
38:01
Model for me, there's no marketing person who's going to help you think through PR. It's it's you got me and the rest of my partnership. And so it means that when you take a board seat, the level of commitment, that that kind of promise you are making to the founder is, I really think at a very different level than other people. I know, I'm on, you know, seven boards right now and and I am on these Talent Call.
38:31
Calls every week for some of my companies where we're we're doing a search for a cro as an example, and it will always be me and then the talent partners of the other firms as opposed to the partner itself. And it's and it's just a very different level of service. And I think when it's me on the call helping kind of figure out the right profile person to go after interviewing people, closing them that we're going to have a better outcome. But it does mean that that opportunity
39:01
Cost the commitment you're making is a very big commitment and so it's always when you make an investment, not just, are we going to make money? But of all the places where I can spend my time, is this the place I should spend it. This idea, I described before of escaping competition. You know, that is something that is fundamental to all. The companies that I invest in is, is this a company that is always going to be fighting too?
39:31
With and nail with another, you know, Collective of companies, for an incremental, point of market share, or is this a company that can really dominate a market become just so much better than any substitute that they become the de facto standard in the space.
39:48
How do you think about that? Because what you're really trying to do is like what we know from history is the only thing that gets us out of sort of trench warfare has a symmetry and weaponry. Right? So how are you dick to Ali? How are you determining?
40:01
Being this competition so that you have an asymmetric outcome where, maybe there's one or two players and they play nicely. Maybe there's it's a winner take all Market or how do you how do you work through that?
40:12
Yeah, they're different flavors of working through it. So
40:16
The, the strongest strongest sign is a network effect and that's why I spend a huge amount of my time, looking at Social companies are marketplaces because they both have Network effects. And you just have a dynamic with those companies where they're able to get their Flywheel spinning fast enough, they're able to tip a market and once your tip a market, the space between you and the competition.
40:46
Gets wider and wider. The other type of company that doesn't necessarily have a network effect. But I also love our companies that actually go after space, that is underestimated from the outside and because it's underestimated, it actually doesn't invite competition. So or the competition isn't strong competition. So, you know, I'm on the board of a company called chain analysis.
41:16
It's and chain analysis is, it's in the kind of blockchain crypto space where they have belt built a technology that lets law enforcement agencies, government agencies investigate transactions on any of the current blockchains equipped, the Bitcoin blockchain, ethereum Etc, and make sure that there's no illicit activity and then the companies that are regulated and want to participate in this crypto,
41:46
Ecosystem. But have to make sure that they're not in the middle of some money laundering, they need a tool and so they use chain analysis. And so chain, analysis has become. This de facto standard in the space. It just got into a space before other people saw the opportunity and because they were the leader, they were able to build more and more technology. You know, they're able to go across any blockchain. Now, we're there as they got bigger, they can amortize the
42:16
Of their engineering efforts across a broader and broader Revenue base, which let them reinvest in the business and pull further and further away from any competition. And so now, you know, it's kind of a, that's one of those winner take most Dynamics without explicit Network effect because they were there first. They executed really, really well and just got so much bigger than any of the competition that they could keep on making their advantage, bigger and
42:45
bigger.
42:47
I like these smaller sort of Niche ideas to where it's a smaller market and maybe you're in a player and you go into a be market and you can just dominate that be market. And then I'm curious as to where these things start to go wrong. So VC is, you know, the starting a business is necessarily valuable in and of itself. And so, there's an expected sort of failure rate. And then there's things that you do that, maybe increase the odds of that failure rate so across
43:16
Aperture. All the companies you have exposure to all the companies in The Benchmark portfolio, all the companies that you get pitched. What are the mistakes? You see CEOs, making over and over again, that increase the odds that they're not going to be a success.
43:30
The thing that chain analysis got right? You know, caught you call it a be market. I'll change that.
43:36
Oh, I yeah, I wasn't trying to be
43:37
derogatory or anything, but I think there's a Nuance here, that's really important. Which is actually, is a be Market in the beginning, its really small. No one cared about it. That's why.
43:46
Why there is no competition at the important thing is, you know, markets are like Rivers, you know, where you you want to be canoe, you're like a canoe on the river. And if there's a great current for you, it's going to keep pushing you. And so it might be that the market is small, but the current is increasing and its getting bigger and bigger and bigger. And that's going to help you build something really, really valuable. We have another company called bench laying that has just done a phenomenal job executing
44:16
Kind of biologic space. Which again, there is a current that they saw that other people didn't see there was creating this really, really big Market. But in the beginning, someone else might have thought it was a bee market for the this, the failure scenarios. I have a Founders ambition, blinds them in. Not picking a small starting place to really, really execute and, and get incredibly strong product Market fit there.
44:46
Ambition, blinds them to wanting to take on a really big problem with a blunt product that doesn't, you know, the tries to be a little bit, everything for everyone versus accepting. Something that might feel small in the beginning but opens up into something much
45:03
bigger. I love the way that we're talking about this because we're really at the heart of it. I mean we're using a little bit of different vocabulary but we're really talking about mental models. When you're on the call doing this Talent scouting, you're touching the territory when you're not.
45:16
Getting that work. Nobody's giving you a map on the other side of it, you're in the weeds, you get to know what's going on. When you're talking about sort of the be market for lack of a better term, it's really contrast, right? You want to be the best player in a market with weaker competition. And so, you're talking about, how do we generate the most contrast? Because there's a lot of value to be created in that contrast when whatever Market you're in, whether you're in the a market, you can be the A+ person but you really want to be the A+ person in in sort of a market without a competition.
45:46
Ian you know II think about these two companies door - and Postmates a lot. You know it's such a beautiful case study in a way because Postmates was recently acquired by Uber incredible team and they were the first actually to realize that there was an opportunity for them as this kind of on-demand player to introduce delivery for any small business. So it had been that before you
46:17
Grub Hub, which was, you know, GrubHub and seamless, where the two, you know, innovators incumbents in the space, that realize that they could create a marketplace where they would get restaurants that had their own delivery to list on their Marketplace. And then they would, you know, help those restaurants get more demand side further delivery and what Postmates realize is that if you just limit the supply side to restaurants that have their own delivery that's actually could
46:46
it's training, the market beyond what is possible and so Postmates realize, hey, will provide will create a third side to this Marketplace, which is the delivery on demand side and will let any business, you know, restaurants cafes retailers will provide delivery for them so that we dramatically expand the supply side and that creates a much much stronger value proposition for the demand side, which is true door - had the same
47:17
In sight but follow them kind of a year and a half later. So maybe inspired by Postmates and and they both use incredibly similar techniques in the beginning to get the demand side Flywheel spinning. But the difference was, is that Postmates went after San Francisco. There was already competition there, you know, I always think that you have to be just so much better than the competition that it's obvious that your the way to go but that
47:46
That wasn't as obvious for Postmates when they were going into this big city, because the incumbents weren't necessarily like doing the same Playbook, but they had a pretty good product. That they were offering door - on the other side, went after the suburbs, you know, they went after a market where everybody else thought it was terrible and not, you know, economic to provide delivery in the suburbs and so they went to the desert for food.
48:17
That almost sounds like Walmart asked.
48:19
Yes, yes. Yeah. And so they went after this Market where everybody else had a you know, as a desert people are like, oh my God, you're providing delivery. Like that's this new thing and it also was a lot easier for door - to get to a very, very big percentage of the market in the suburbs because again, the restaurants were being attacked by 50 different vendors, trying to get their attention. Dora - was probably the only one knocking on their
48:46
Door. And there aren't that many restaurants in the suburbs relative to a city. Yeah, you know, say Postmates could be executing a 10x door - has execution but because door - had a strategy that let them just be, you know, so much better than any substitute because it's a lot better to be better. That it's a lot easier to be better than the competition when you have no competition your competitions really crappy and so it just got them to be able to
49:16
Be in the zone where they could tip a market before Postmates, and I kind of describe it as like Postmates. I think optimized for GM V for maximizing gmv and they try to boil an ocean whereas door - really optimized for tipping. This Market, what I think of, as like, happiness, and they boiled a thimble and you can see, I mean, I don't know, I haven't checked or dashes market cap recently, but it is an astoundingly successful company with a
49:46
A very, very different strategy in the
49:48
incumbents. Do you think there's something to the notion there that if you can figure out your business in the hardest conditions, then the easier conditions, which would be the city are going to be much easier if you can make it. Work in the suburbs where there's, you know, deliveries are more complicated signing up. People might be easier but the whole network and the operations are going to be a lot more complicated than that. Translates into it working in the city where as in this case,
50:16
Working in the city might not translate to working into the suburbs or my thinking about this
50:20
wrong. Oh, that's absolutely true. I mean you see that in so many different Industries. I remember I was a lucky to observe the board of diapers.com and those guys started by selling diapers, wipes and formula is like a two percent, gross margin business. But if you can get really good at making the economics work for a business that has that level of gross margin.
50:46
And and then you start to add more, you know, higher gross margin products to the basket, the DNA of the company, the habits of the company get forged in this really, really resource-constrained environment that only creates benefits from there. That said, I wouldn't say that you should choose a market necessarily to pick the hard thing. I actually think that you want to pick something that is easy to win to tip. Them are
51:16
You know, and and it, you know, there was ways in which going out to the suburbs was harder than going like operationally harder harder probably from a unit economic perspective, although I'm not positive then like going after the city but it was ultimately easier to get to that Tipping Point. And that's what I think you really want to maximize for.
51:37
Do you think that there is an interesting notion we just talked about sort of margin and increasing margin over time? Do you think there's an interesting way that are their businesses that go off?
51:46
Where are, you know, Amazon be an example. I think where they they have a low margin and then they lower it over time. And that's how they get bigger and bigger and bigger and bigger and then you can't really compete with them. If they're constantly lowering margin, at least playing that game. How do you think about that
52:03
back to the concept I articulate before of tipping? A market, one of the wonderful things that happens when you tip a market is that your organic growth starts to explode, you know, because
52:16
Your value proposition relative to any other substitute becomes just so much better that you would be stupid as a buyer not to go you know it's almost an IQ test. Are you going to? Where are you going to buy from? And so what the beauty is of, you know, a company like Amazon that's able to articulate a flywheel. Very clearly is that they don't have to spend money on the acquisition side and they have, of course, because they have so much more inventory that they can, they can make their mark.
52:46
Version off of a very very every skew that you could possibly want versus any individual product and and it's just I mean how do you compete with that flywheel that spinning at that magnitude? Its you end up, you know it's just a very very difficult thing as we as we've seen over the last 10
53:07
years. So where does this go wrong? How does this like these business model? I mean ideally I'm probably it Amazon's not
53:16
To be the champion in a century from now. But they have a really good model and the model has this Runway that's incredibly long. Does that go wrong through complacency? Does it go wrong through greed? Does it go wrong through bringing the future into the present and sort of like, increasing the margins? How do you think of it that
53:34
I think the number one thing that I see is is complacency, although from what I can tell Amazon is not a complacent Company by any means, but certainly there are plenty of
53:47
Examples of companies that that got LeapFrog, they got disrupted in some way by a new company. I'll give eBay as an example. I mean eBay which you know benchmark was lucky to be the early investor and so it's been just a phenomenal company and yet the same time you can't help but see that that company is being unbundled by new startups.
54:16
That you know, there are vulnerabilities, the hard thing about being a horizontal platform, like an eBay. Is that your you have to try to be everything for everyone, you know. And what what that forces is this kind of lowest-common-denominator product. Whereas you know I take Goat as an example here, where goat was a company? I don't know if you're a sneakerhead now it's a, it's a, it's a, it's a Marketplace for sneakers, secondhand sneakers and now news,
54:46
Sneakers. If there's that pair of Yeezys you've been eyeing, you can go there Shane and get them definitely and and the experience into the company started. What I, you know, the the for claw releases that the company started because the founder had been working on another startup, it was, you know, Running on Fumes looking for a new idea and he had ordered a pair of sneakers on ebay, you know, Jordans or something, open the box and it was
55:16
Pair of counterfeit sneakers it was you know they were not authentic sneakers and that was the light bulb for him that there was this vulnerability to this huge huge Marketplace that had hundreds of thousands of skus for, you know, Nike sneakers. But it was that people didn't know how to do a lot of work in order to make sure they weren't going to get counterfeits and that, and, and they didn't always trust that if they were going to buy something that it would be authentic.
55:46
And so goat went after that vulnerability first by creating like, you know, a policy that it was always good that they were going to vet all the inventory to make sure it was authentic. And then they also created a product that was focused on this white-hot, center of the sneaker vertical that was mobile first and had features. Then eBay, just couldn't built because eBay wasn't for just sneakers, that let them disrupt eBay and LeapFrog what they were
56:16
And so there's there's there's kind of this what's that saying that there's only two ways to make money bundling and unbundling, the creative destruction that is, you know, part of what we love about startups. And and certainly I think that any big horizontal platform while they have this Incredible strength which is their scale, there's also a vulnerability there that we might, you know, see evolved
56:40
well what's the most interesting thing that you've seen or a most surprising thing that you've seen.
56:46
Seen recently in terms of startups.
56:51
Well, you know, the thing that has just been so fascinating over this past year is, you know, is kind of the effect of shelter in place. It is transformative in so many different ways. You know, there's a class of companies where the future has been pulled forward. You know, or things that would have
57:16
On that 3 to 5-year roadmap become on the like we need to do it now roadmap, you know, the kind of like and there's you see that in the in the success of law of this software businesses right now and it's you know we've seen the benefit of that and it's and it's just transformative and then of course there's this change to the way we work where we had always you know the default answer had always been, we're going to have an office and we're all going to be co-located and we're going to go into a room together.
57:46
Weather and we're going to, you know, get through that, you know, roadmap planning together. And like that's the way we're going to work. That was the default and and now of course Everything's changed. You know, we are we are in a place where the default has been completely changed to the mirror image and we're having to make decisions. Now, these companies of will the new default that we have now? Persist post shelter in place?
58:14
Where does it revert
58:15
back, right?
58:16
And what? And like you kind of feel that it's not it's not going to go to the way things were like. There are, you know, we've seen an acceleration in the technologies that we have now to to make it so that when you're working remotely can actually be better more productive than it used to be when we were in the same place and in a way like you had Technologies like slack. And and zoom that I think facilitated a new way of working.
58:46
Which was the ability for us to be remote but but aren't actually native to the way we are working when you're working remote. And so you're seeing a new generation of companies that are native to this either fully remote or, you know, future hybrid workspaces that I think are going to be transformative for the way that we work with each other and collaborate across functions. So that I think is incredibly exciting. And then there's also the consumer world.
59:16
To which is, you know, it right now, you're just seeing Annex know if it had been for the last three years. This, you know, it always felt rather not the last three years that, you know, pre covid that consumer was just, it was owned. It was owned by Facebook and Amazon, and Google, and apple. And, you know, and if you wanted to build a consumer company, you were pushing against a rope right now because of shelter in place.
59:46
People can't spend time in the real world. The all these ways that we used to spend our time are no longer available to us. And so because of that it has created this new Gold Rush or a land, grab really for all these minutes that used to belong to offline, minutes are now suddenly fair game for all these digital products, mobile products, and it's created this, you know, wonderful new
1:00:16
Renaissance for these consumer, social companies. And so that has been really interesting to see. And then, of course, the question is, what, what, persist, what thrives once, you know, you and I are able to be in a conference room together. Give a friend a hug.
1:00:31
Yeah, that's a really interesting question because it's like the longer it goes, the more, your habits will probably change. They're probably not going to change fully to where they are now, but you're probably going to get more takeout than sitting at a restaurant. You're just used to, I mean, that you develop that pattern.
1:00:46
Of behavior,
1:00:47
and it really is huge. And it's, you know, I like the longer that we are in this suspended State the stronger. These new habits will be. And, you know, you've course, there's the good in the bad, there's the good, which is how people are collaborating with each other and connecting in this kind of global Maxima states where the geography becomes you know, known as
1:01:16
Important then, you know, just being able to connect somehow and then there's the bad, which is that, you know, I do think I'm I didn't I never knew if I was an extrovert or an introvert and now I know, I'm an extrovert, like, I think people, you know, miss each other and should spend time together. And like, you know, how can you not like the physical presence? And there's, you know, there's there's a, there's a lot of people who that have it, especially when you're younger and you get you no more.
1:01:46
More engaged with, you know, games and other things, changing, back to the world. The way things were, I know it's going to be some give-and-take and I'll just be really interesting to see how that evolves.
1:02:02
Thank you so much for your time today sir. That's a great place to end this conversation.
1:02:07
Thanks so much for having me.
1:02:11
Hey one more thing. Before we say goodbye the knowledge project is produced by the team at Farnam Street. I want to make this the best podcast. You listen to, and I'd love to get your feedback. If you have comments ideas for future shows or topics or just feedback in general, you can email me at Shane @f, s dot blog or follow me on Twitter at Shane. A parish. You can learn more about the show and find past episodes. @f s dot blog. / podcast if you want to transcript of this episode go to FS dot blogspot.
1:02:40
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